Abstract
Red chili prices in the market tend fluctuate over time. Development of red chilli in centers production included at Jember Regency continue to be made, but production still fluctuate and have not been able to meet market demand. Condition fluctuation production with uncertainty price needs to corrected immediately. Information of price and production need as solution to cope with fluctuation of red chili price. The research method used analytical descriptive method. Location chosen by purposive method at Jember Regency. The research used secondary time series data 2012 until 2016. Analytical tools used probability analysis and plot, trend analysis, and multiple linear regression analysis with double log model. The results showed that (1) production and prices red chili fluctuate every quarterly. The highest red chili price at farmers and consumers level occurred in the fourth quarter and the lowest in the second quarter. Red chili highest production in fourth quarter and lowest in first quarter. (2) Trend production and prices of red chili on 2017 until 2018 fluctuated and increased. (3) Factors that significantly affect of red chili supply are red chili production in previous month and harvested area.
Highlights
PENDAHULUAN Harga komoditas hortikultura merupakan hal yang harus diperhatikan bagi pengembangan hortikultura
(3) Factors that significantly affect of red chili supply are red chili production in previous month and harvested area
Kondisi tersebut dikarenakan pada bulan November 2017 produksi cabai merah dalam peramalan produksi juga mengalami kenaikan sehingga mencapai dalam kedaan over supply yang diakibatkan petani sebagai produsen kurang tepat dalam melakukan perencanaan dan memperkirakan harga cabai merah akan tetap tinggi sehingga petani melakukan peningkatan penanaman cabai merah dengan harapan harga akan terus tinggi sehingga keuntungan mereka akan bertambah
Summary
PENDAHULUAN Harga komoditas hortikultura merupakan hal yang harus diperhatikan bagi pengembangan hortikultura. Trend digunakan sebagai proyeksi peramalan harga dan produksi serta pola dari fluktuasi produksi dan harga cabai merah di Kabupaten Jember selama kurun waktu dari tahun 2017 hingga 2018. HASIL DAN PEMBAHASAN Pola Kecenderungan Data Harga dan Produksi Cabai Merah di Kabupaten Jember 1) Harga Cabai Merah di Tingkat Produsen
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More From: JSEP (Journal of Social and Agricultural Economics)
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