Dimorphos’s Orbit Period Change and Attitude Perturbation due to Its Reshaping after the DART Impact

Abstract

On 2022 September 26 (UTC), NASA's Double Asteroid Redirection Test (DART) mission achieved a successful impact on Dimorphos, the secondary component of the near-Earth binary asteroid system (65803) Didymos. Subsequent ground-based observations suggest a significant reshaping of Dimorphos, with its equatorial axis ratio changing from 1.06 to ∼1.3. Here we report the effects of this reshaping event on Dimorphos's orbit and attitude. Given the reported reshaping magnitude, our mutual dynamics simulations show that approximately 125 s of the observed 33 minute orbit period change after the DART impact may have resulted from reshaping. This value, however, is sensitive to the precise values of Dimorphos's post-impact axis ratios and may vary by up to 2 times that amount, reaching approximately 250 s within the current uncertainty range. While the rotational state of the body is stable at the currently estimated axis ratios, even minor changes in these ratios or the introduction of shape asymmetry can render its attitude unstable. The perturbation to Dimorphos’s orbital and rotational state delivered by the impact directly, combined with any reshaping, leads to a strong possibility for a tumbling rotation state. To accurately determine the momentum enhancement factor (β) through measurements by the European Space Agency’s Hera spacecraft and to evaluate the effectiveness of the kinetic deflection technique for future planetary defense initiatives, the effects of reshaping should not be overlooked.