Abstract

Converging evidence from biopsychosocial research in humans and animals demonstrates that chronic sensory stimulation (via excessive screen exposure) affects brain development increasing the risk of cognitive, emotional, and behavioural disorders in adolescents and young adults. Emerging evidence suggests that some of these effects are similar to those seen in adults with symptoms of mild cognitive impairment (MCI) in the early stages of dementia, including impaired concentration, orientation, acquisition of recent memories (anterograde amnesia), recall of past memories (retrograde amnesia), social functioning, and self-care. Excessive screen time is known to alter gray matter and white volumes in the brain, increase the risk of mental disorders, and impair acquisition of memories and learning which are known risk factors for dementia. Chronic sensory overstimulation (i.e., excessive screen time) during brain development increases the risk of accelerated neurodegeneration in adulthood (i.e., amnesia, early onset dementia). This relationship is affected by several mediating/moderating factors (e.g., IQ decline, learning impairments and mental illness). We hypothesize that excessive screen exposure during critical periods of development in Generation Z will lead to mild cognitive impairments in early to middle adulthood resulting in substantially increased rates of early onset dementia in later adulthood. We predict that from 2060 to 2100, the rates of Alzheimer's disease and related dementias (ADRD) will increase significantly, far above the Centres for Disease Control (CDC) projected estimates of a two-fold increase, to upwards of a four-to-six-fold increase. The CDC estimates are based entirely on factors related to the age, sex, race and ethnicity of individuals born before 1950 who did not have access to mobile digital technology during critical periods of brain development. Compared to previous generations, the average 17-19-year-old spends approximately 6 hours a day on mobile digital devices (MDD) (smartphones, tablets, and laptop computers) whereas individuals born before 1950 at the same age spent zero. Our estimates include the documented effects of excessive screen time on individuals born after 1980, Millennials and Generation Z, who will be the majority of individuals ≥65 years old. An estimated 4-to-6-fold increase in rates of ADRD post-2060 will result in widespread societal and economic distress and the complete collapse of already overburdened healthcare systems in developed countries. Preventative measures must be set in place immediately including investments and interventions in public education, social policy, laws, and healthcare.

Highlights

  • Researchers at the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) project that the rate of Alzheimer’s disease and related dementias (ADRD) in the United States will increase 2-fold, from 1.6% to 3.3%, by 2060 [1]

  • We have identified two known critical factors that differ significantly between individuals born before 1965 and those born after 1980 which are related to the risk of mild cognitive impairment (MCI) and Alzheimer’s Disease & Related Dementias (ADRDs): excessive screen time and intelligence

  • Excessive screen time has been empirically demonstrated to affect brain development and increase the risk of cognitive, emotional, and behavioural disorders in adolescents and young adults by negatively impacting attention and concentration, learning and memory, emotional regulation and social functioning, physical health, and development of mental disorders and substance use. These effects are similar to the symptoms of MCI seen in older adults that increase the risk of ADRDs

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Summary

Introduction

Researchers at the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) project that the rate of Alzheimer’s disease and related dementias (ADRD) in the United States will increase 2-fold, from 1.6% to 3.3%, by 2060 [1] These estimates are based on data for the ADRD burden of disease in 2014 for adults aged ≥65 years according to age, sex, race, and ethnicity factors which primarily represents individuals born between 1925–1945 (Silent Generation) and 1946–1964 (Baby Boomers) [1]. Smartphones, tablets, and laptops), during brain development, is related to increased risk of learning and memory impairments, attentional and emotional disorders, substance abuse, and changes in cortical gray and white matter volumes [4] These observations are consistent with the cognitive-behavioural-brain reserve (CBBR) hypothesis of dementia, which suggests that more complex patterns of neural and mental activity in early, middle, and later life stages are associated with decreased risk of dementia, whereas less complex patterns are associated with an increased risk of dementia [5]. Our estimates include the documented effects of global declines in intelligence levels and excessive screen time for individuals born after 1980, Millennials and Generation Z, who will comprise most individuals ≥65 years old in 2060

Theory
Hypothesis
Evaluation of hypothesis
Neurological and cognitive-behavioural markers of MCI and ADRD
Global declines in intelligence may increase risk of MCI and dementia in 2060
Main developmental effects of screen time on learning and memory
Effects of excessive screen time on attentional disorders
Effects of excessive screen time on the development of psychiatric disorders
4.10 Limitations of the hypothesis and counterarguments on the evidence
Consequences of the hypothesis and discussion
Summary and conclusions
Conflict of interest
Full Text
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