Abstract

DNA restriction fragment length polymorphisms (RFLPs) are used for diagnosis of genetic disease in families known to be affected by specific disorders, but RFLPs can be also useful for the differential diagnosis of hereditary disease. An RFLP pattern represents the inheritance of chromosomal markers in a family, and such a pattern may be compatible with the inheritance of a certain disorder in that family. Probabilities to find such a pattern if the disorder were present and if it were absent can be combined with the prior probabilities of disease considered in the differential diagnosis on the basis of previous clinical and laboratory data. Bayes' theorem is used to calculate the posterior probabilities of the diseases in question. This approach is illustrated in a family suffering from either spinal muscular atrophy (an autosomal recessive disease) or Becker muscular dystrophy (an X-chromosomal disorder). Probabilities to exclude a certain disorder can be calculated in advance, as some RFLP patterns are not compatible with the presence of that disorder.

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