Abstract

Recently, some new techniques have been proposed for the estimation of semi-parametric fixed effects varying coefficient panel data models. These new techniques fall within the class of the so-called differencing estimators. In particular, we consider first-differences and within local linear regression estimators. Analyzing their asymptotic properties it turns out that, keeping the same order of magnitude for the bias term, these estimators exhibit different asymptotic bounds for the variance. In both cases, the consequences are suboptimal non-parametric rates of convergence. In order to solve this problem, by exploiting the additive structure of this model, a one-step backfitting algorithm is proposed. Under fairly general conditions, it turns out that the resulting estimators show optimal rates of convergence and exhibit the oracle efficiency property. Since both estimators are asymptotically equivalent, it is of interest to analyze their behavior in small sample sizes. In a fully parametric context, it is well-known that, under strict exogeneity assumptions the performance of both first-differences and within estimators is going to depend on the stochastic structure of the idiosyncratic random errors. However, in the non-parametric setting, apart from the previous issues other factors such as dimensionality or sample size are of great interest. In particular, we would be interested in learning about their relative average mean square error under different scenarios. The simulation results basically confirm the theoretical findings for both local linear regression and one-step backfitting estimators. However, we have found out that within estimators are rather sensitive to the size of number of time observations.

Highlights

  • It turns out that the resulting estimators show optimal rates of convergence and exhibit the oracle efficiency property. This is already a well-known result (see Fan and Zhang (1999)): Additional smoothing can reduce the variance without affecting the asymptotic order of the bias. Since both estimators are asymptotically equivalent, it is of interest to analyze their behavior in small sample sizes under a standard panel data setting, that is, fixed number of time observations and increasing number of individuals

  • The first-differences estimator exhibits a rate of order NT |H| and the within estimator shows a rate of order NT |H|T/2

  • We focus on the impact that both curse of dimensionality and number of time observations have on the behavior of the Average Mean Square Error (AMSE)

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Summary

Introduction

Since the last ten years, semi-parametric panel data varying coefficient models with fixed effects have become a very useful tool to handle many statistical problems in empirical studies (see for example Card (2001), Kottaridi and Stengos (2010) and Kuan and Chen (2013)). It turns out that the resulting estimators show optimal rates of convergence and exhibit the oracle efficiency property This is already a well-known result (see Fan and Zhang (1999)): Additional smoothing can reduce the variance without affecting the asymptotic order of the bias. In a fully parametric context, it is well-known that, under strict exogeneity assumptions the performance of both differencing estimators is going to depend on the stochastic structure of the idiosyncratic random errors (see Wooldridge (2002)) Following these ideas, in this paper, we perform a Monte Carlo simulation experiment that is designed to compare the performance of both the first-differences and the within estimator in finite samples under fairly standard conditions.

Local linear estimation procedure
One-step backfitting procedure
Monte Carlo experiment
Conclusions
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