Abstract

BackgroundEpidemiological data obtained during the initial wave of the COVID-19 epidemic showed that persons dying with COVID-19 were typically older men with multiple chronic conditions. No studies have assessed if the characteristics of patients dying with COVID-19 have changed in the second phase of the epidemic, when the initial wave subsided. The aim of the present study was to compare characteristics of patients dying with COVID-19 in Italy in the first ‘peak’ phase of the epidemic and in its second phase.MethodsMedical charts of patients with COVID-19 who died while in hospital in Italy were reviewed to extract information on pre-existing comorbidities, in-hospital complications, and disease trajectories. The course of the epidemic was classified in two 3-month periods: March–May 2020 and June–August 2020.FindingsOverall, in the Italian population, 34,191 COVID-19 deaths occurred in March–May 2020 and 1,404 in June–August 2020. Patients dying in March–May were significantly younger (80.1 ± 10.6 vs. 82.8 ± 11.1 years, p < 0.001) and less frequently female (41.9% vs. 61.8%, p < 0.001) than those dying in June–August. The medical charts of 3533 patients who died with PCR-confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection in March–May 2020 (10.3% of all deaths occurring in this period) and 203 patients who died in June–August 2020 (14.5% of all deaths occurring in this period) were analysed. Patients who died in March–May 2020, compared to those who died in June–August 2020, had significantly lower rates of multiple comorbidities (3 or more comorbidities: 61.8% vs 74.5%, p = 0.001) and superinfections (15.2% vs. 52.5%, p < 0.001). Treatment patterns also substantially differed in the two study periods, with patients dying in March–May 2020 being less likely to be treated with steroids (41.7% vs. 69.3%, p < 0.001) and more likely to receive antivirals (59.3% vs. 41.4%, p < 0.001). Survival time also largely differed, with patients dying in March–May 2020 showing a shorter time from symptoms onset to death (mean interval: 15.0 vs. 46.6 days, p < 0.001). The differences observed between the two periods remained significant in a multivariate analysis.InterpretationThe clinical characteristics of patients dying with COVID-19 in Italy, their treatment and symptom-to-death survival time have significantly changed overtime. This is probably due to an improved organization and delivery of care and to a better knowledge of disease treatment.

Highlights

  • In Italy, the first case of COVID-19 was diagnosed on February 20, 2020 [1, 2], with the first related death occurring on February 21

  • As of August 31, 2020, a total of 35,595 deaths occurring in SARS-CoV-2-positive patients were reported in Italy to the national surveillance system [7], and 3945 (11.1%) complete medical records of patients who died in the hospital were examined in detail at the ISS

  • We show that characteristics of patients who died with COVID-19 in Italy have largely changed over time

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Summary

Introduction

In Italy, the first case of COVID-19 was diagnosed on February 20, 2020 [1, 2], with the first related death occurring on February 21. The aim of the present study was to compare COVID-19 patients who died in Italy during the first (‘peak’, March–May 2020) and the second (June–August 2020) phase of the epidemic, evaluating in these two groups clinical characteristics (e.g., age, sex, comorbidities), in-hospital complications (e.g., superinfections), treatments administered (e.g., antivirals and steroids), and disease trajectories (e.g., survival time since symptom onset). Interpretation The clinical characteristics of patients dying with COVID-19 in Italy, their treatment and symptom-to-death survival time have significantly changed overtime This is probably due to an improved organization and delivery of care and to a better knowledge of disease treatment

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