Differences in climate-growth relationships between two tree species that co-occur in a seasonally dry tropical forest in Northeastern Brazil

Abstract

Seasonally dry tropical forests are an important global climate regulator and represent one of main drivers of carbon sink dynamics. However, projections of climate change suggest future productivity losses and negative impacts on forest functioning. Understanding the interaction between climate variability and tree growth responses between species with different growth strategies represents a crucial challenge to forecast ecosystem functioning in the future. Here we used tree ring chronology to evaluate changes in growth and climate sensitivity of two tropical tree species that co-occur in a seasonally dry tropical forest in Brazil: Cedrela odorata and Ceiba glaziovii. Using Pearson correlations and linear regressions we explored how growth variability is correlated with local (precipitation, temperature) and global (ocean temperature and El Niño Southern Oscillation - ENSO) climatic factors. Tree growth was closely related with precipitation in C. odorata (r = 0.59) and C. glaziovii (0.24). Differences were found at monthly level, which C. odorata showing greater sensitivity in the beginning of rainy season. The South Atlantic Temperature was positively correlated with C. odorata, while ENSO was negatively correlated. Our results showed a dominant effect of precipitation on tree growth and suggest that are different growth strategies among species, which C. odorata being the most sensitive to drought and C. glaziovii more adapted with parenchyma in trunk. Therefore, C. odorata is probably more vulnerable to the deleterious effects of future climate change than C. glaziovii. Our findings highlight the importance of understanding the climate sensitivity of different seasonally dry tropical forest species, which is critical to predicting carbon dynamics in tropical regions. These also reveal that differences in sensitivity must be considered when prioritizing conservation measures for seasonally dry tropical forests.