Abstract

We aimed to assess the long-term association of total, heme, non-heme, and supplemental iron intake and risk of type 2 diabetes (T2D). PubMed, Scopus, and Web of Science were searched to October 2021. Two researchers extracted data in duplicate and rated the certainty in the estimates using the GRADE approach. Random-effects models were applied to estimate the relative risks (RRs) and 95% CIs. Dose-response associations were modeled by a one-stage weighted mixed-effects meta-analysis. Eleven prospective cohort studies 323,788 participants and 28,837 incident cases of T2D were included. High versus low category meta-analysis indicated that higher heme iron intake was associated with a 20% higher risk of T2D (95% CI 1.07, 1.35; I2 = 77%, n = 11; GRADE = moderate). Dose-response analysis indicated a positive monotonic association, wherein each 1mg/day increment in heme iron intake was related to a 16% higher risk (95% CI 1.03, 1.30). No significant relationship was detected between dietary intakes of total, non-heme, and supplemental iron and risk of T2D (GRADE = very low). In summary, higher heme iron intake was associated with a higher risk of T2D. Our results are in line with existing evidence indicating that adopting a Western-style dietary pattern, rich in dietary sources of heme iron, was associated with a higher risk of T2D. The protocol of this systematic review was registered at PROSPERO (registration number: CRD42021226835).

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