Abstract

Predictive maintenance has been employed to reduce maintenance costs and production losses and to prevent any failure before it occurs. The framework proposed in this work performs diesel engine prognosis by evaluating the absolute value of the failure severity using random forest (RF) and multilayer perceptron (MLP) neural networks. A database was implemented with 3500 failure scenarios to overcome the problem of inducing destructive failures in diesel engines. Diesel engine failure signals were developed with the zero-dimensional thermodynamic model inside a cylinder coupled with the crankshaft torsional vibration model. Artificial neural networks and random forest regression models were employed for classifying and quantifying failures. The methodology was applied alongside an engine simulator to assess effectiveness and accuracy. The best-fitting performance was obtained with the random forest regressor with an RMSE value of 0.10 ± 0.03%.

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