Abstract

BackgroundThe presence of microvascular invasion (MVI) is considered an independent prognostic factor associated with early recurrence and poor survival in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients after resection. Artificial intelligence (AI), mainly consisting of non-deep learning algorithms (NDLAs) and deep learning algorithms (DLAs), has been widely used for MVI prediction in medical imaging.AimTo assess the diagnostic accuracy of AI algorithms for non-invasive, preoperative prediction of MVI based on imaging data.MethodsOriginal studies reporting AI algorithms for non-invasive, preoperative prediction of MVI based on quantitative imaging data were identified in the databases PubMed, Embase, and Web of Science. The quality of the included studies was assessed using the Quality Assessment of Diagnostic Accuracy Studies 2 (QUADAS-2) scale. The pooled sensitivity, specificity, positive likelihood ratio (PLR), and negative likelihood ratio (NLR) were calculated using a random-effects model with 95% CIs. A summary receiver operating characteristic curve and the area under the curve (AUC) were generated to assess the diagnostic accuracy of the deep learning and non-deep learning models. In the non-deep learning group, we further performed meta-regression and subgroup analyses to identify the source of heterogeneity.ResultsData from 16 included studies with 4,759 cases were available for meta-analysis. Four studies on deep learning models, 12 studies on non-deep learning models, and two studies compared the efficiency of the two types. For predictive performance of deep learning models, the pooled sensitivity, specificity, PLR, NLR, and AUC values were 0.84 [0.75–0.90], 0.84 [0.77–0.89], 5.14 [3.53–7.48], 0.2 [0.12–0.31], and 0.90 [0.87–0.93]; and for non-deep learning models, they were 0.77 [0.71–0.82], 0.77 [0.73–0.80], 3.30 [2.83–3.84], 0.30 [0.24–0.38], and 0.82 [0.79–0.85], respectively. Subgroup analyses showed a significant difference between the single tumor subgroup and the multiple tumor subgroup in the pooled sensitivity, NLR, and AUC.ConclusionThis meta-analysis demonstrates the high diagnostic accuracy of non-deep learning and deep learning methods for MVI status prediction and their promising potential for clinical decision-making. Deep learning models perform better than non-deep learning models in terms of the accuracy of MVI prediction, methodology, and cost-effectiveness.Systematic Review Registration https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/PROSPERO/display_record.php? RecordID=260891, ID:CRD42021260891.

Highlights

  • Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the most common primary liver malignancy and the fourth most common cause of cancerrelated deaths worldwide [1]

  • Search terms are available in the Supplementary Search Strategy and were included when they discussed the use of non-deep learning (NDL) or deep learning (DL) methodologies on images in microvascular invasion (MVI) prediction

  • Chen et al compared the predictive performance of five classifiers in six different MRI sequences, and the analysis showed that support vector machine (SVM), extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), and logistic regression (LR) classifiers in the validation cohort

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Summary

Introduction

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the most common primary liver malignancy and the fourth most common cause of cancerrelated deaths worldwide [1]. A high risk of recurrence and metastasis after resection leads to a poor prognosis for patients with HCC [3]. The presence of microvascular invasion (MVI) is considered an independent prognostic factor associated with HCC’s early recurrence and poor survival after resection. For the MVI patients, cumulative early recurrence rates were significantly lower in the surgical resection group than in the radiofrequency ablation group (22.8% vs 52.5% after 1 year; 30.6% vs 90.0% after 2 years) [7, 8]. To better allocate treatment strategies, predicting the risk of early recurrence of HCC before resection or ablation is crucial. The presence of microvascular invasion (MVI) is considered an independent prognostic factor associated with early recurrence and poor survival in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients after resection. Artificial intelligence (AI), mainly consisting of non-deep learning algorithms (NDLAs) and deep learning algorithms (DLAs), has been widely used for MVI prediction in medical imaging

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