Diagnosis and simulation of a rapidly developing cyclone related to a severe dust storm in East Asia

Abstract

Mongolian cyclones are important to the outbreaks of severe dust storms in Northeast Asia. In this paper, we conduct a diagnostic study and a numerical simulation of a rapidly developing Mongolian cyclone that produced the April 5 to 7, 2000 severe dust storm in East Asia. The surface pressure of the cyclone decreased rapidly on April 5 to 6 causing strong surface winds. The diagnosis shows that the cyclone was a “dry cyclone”, as the convergence of moisture flux was weak and the baroclinic forcing was strong. The analysis of the Q vectors also reveals that ageostrophic wind was significant in the middle and upper part of the cyclone, resulting in strong vertical motion in the lower part. The three-dimensional structure of the cyclone is characterized by an ascending southern warm current and a descending northern cold current. This structure is favorable to the release of available potential energy and the intensification of the cyclone. In the second part of this study, we develop a coupled system of a dust emission scheme and a mesoscale numerical model (MM5V3) and applied the system to the simulation of the Mongolian cyclone. The main features of the cyclone identified from the diagnostic analysis are successfully reproduced. The predicted dust storm-affected area is found to be consistent with the meteorological observations and satellite remote sensing. It is shown that the coupled system is capable of predicting the spatial and temporal variations of the dust storm.