Abstract

Progression to severe organ involvement due to dengue infection has been associated with severe dengue disease, intensive care treatment, and mortality. However, there is a lack of understanding of the impact of pre-existing comorbidities and other risk factors of severe organ involvement among dengue adults. The aim of this retrospective case-control study is to characterize and identify risk factors that predispose dengue adults at risk of progression with severe organ involvement. This study involved 174 dengue patients who had progressed with severe organ involvement and 865 dengue patients without severe organ involvement, matched by the year of presentation of the cases, who were admitted to Tan Tock Seng Hospital between year 2005 and 2008. Age group of 60 years or older, diabetes, cardiac disorders, asthma, and having two or more pre-existing comorbidities were independent risk factors of severe organ involvement. Abdominal pain, clinical fluid accumulation, and hematocrit rise and rapid platelet count drop at presentation were significantly associated with severe organ involvement. These risk factors, when validated in a larger study, will be useful for triage by clinicians for prompt monitoring and clinical management at first presentation, to minimize the risk of severe organ involvement and hence, disease severity.

Highlights

  • To benefit from close observation and early intervention with supportive therapy, has become the focus of intense research efforts in recent years

  • One of the major dengue complications of concern is the progression to severe organ involvement, which has been associated with severe dengue (SD), intensive care treatment, and fatality[13,14,15,16,17]

  • From year 2005 to 2008, there were about 6,300 dengue patients admitted into Tan Tock Seng Hospital

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Summary

Introduction

To benefit from close observation and early intervention with supportive therapy, has become the focus of intense research efforts in recent years. One of the major dengue complications of concern is the progression to severe organ involvement, which has been associated with SD, intensive care treatment, and fatality[13,14,15,16,17]. Severe organ involvement has been associated with adult dengue, and are likely to occur late in the disease course, but occurs rapidly when it happens, with limited time for optimal clinical management[3,10]. There is still limited understanding of the impact of pre-existing comorbidities[32] and other early risk factors among dengue adults with severe organ involvement. The aim of this retrospective case-control study is to characterize and identify risk factors that are useful to stratify adult dengue patients at a tertiary hospital at risk of progression with severe organ involvement

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