Abstract

Finite element reliability methods have the potential of integrating advanced reliability methods into everyday engineering practice. This development is supported by the current extensive use of the finite element method and the introduction of “performance-based engineer-ing.” In this paper, long-term visions for the use of finite element reliability analysis are discussed, recent developments and current capabilities are reviewed, and initial attempts are made to address outstanding issues. In particular, attention is given to the model and analysis errors, the uncertainty in the selection of failure criteria, and the coupling of experimental testing and numerical analysis. An objective of this paper is to stimulate the discussion of the long-term visions and the direction of future research.

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