Development perspectives of channel processes in the Sylva River basin (the Kama basin) in the XXI century

Abstract

According to some well-established connections between air temperatures and atmospheric precipitation for the entire period of instrumental observations, it is concluded that the modern values of humidification in the Sylva River basin (the Kama basin) will be preserved until the end of the XXI century. When determining the trend in the development of channel processes, results of forecasts of relative changes in the annual runoff calculated for the East-European Plain with an ensemble of 7 CMIP3 models are used. The range of fluctuations is 0.9–1.1. The development of channel processes in the territory under study will not undergo significant changes in its orientation and activity until the end of the XXI century.