Development of serviceability prediction model for county paved roads

Abstract

This paper developed a pavement serviceability prediction model for county paved roads. Most county paved roads were built decades ago without following minimum design standards. The recent increase in industrial/mineral activities in the State of Wyoming required developing a pavement management system (PMS) for local paved roads. The developed PMS used the pavement serviceability index (PSI) as a pavement performance parameter. The proposed PSI model for local roads is based on: international roughness index, pavement condition index (PCI) and rut depth for flexible pavements only. Ten panellists from Wyoming rated 30 pavement sections that were randomly selected at different distresses’ levels; using two vehicles (SUV and Sedan). The statistical analysis indicated that the seating position, age and gender are not significant to the rating process. However, the vehicle’s type found to be significant. The newly developed model from this study explains 80% of the variations in the PSI values of county roads (adjusted R2 = 0.80). In addition, the new model seems to provide more realistic representation of the conditions of county roads than the statewide model used on the state’s highway system.