Abstract
European satellite communications are steadily growing but the same cannot be said of satellite TV, which has been the main driver so far. The number of satellite transponders in orbit will more than double in the next four years; satellite broadcasting, however, is moving into a period of consolidation but some uncertainty about the time needed for profitability of individual channels. Indecision about the regulatory framework for MAC transmissions and unknowns about the much-promoted high-definition TV do not make clear predictions possible. The emergence of business communication and links to Eastern Europe generally will diversify satellite communications. However, the dominance of the national telecommunication administrations will remain for some time, despite the European Commission's push for reregulation and the success of SES/Astra in direct-to home broadcasting.
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