Development of fuzzy model for calculating the poverty of the region

Natalya Tovmasyan,Dmitriy Nazarov,Maria Ciurea,A.D Nazarov

doi:10.1051/e3sconf/202129501067

Natalya Tovmasyan, Dmitriy Nazarov + Show 2 more

Open Access

https://doi.org/10.1051/e3sconf/202129501067

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Abstract

In the period of digitalization of the economy, informatization and automation of all business processes of any enterprise and the state as a whole is rapidly taking place. One of the global problems of any modern state is the problem of poverty associated with various economic aspects, including receiving benefits and compensations. The main group of the population with a high level of risk of falling into the group of the poor are pensioners, despite various social assistance programs. Social and economic support for the poor also reduces social tension in society. The main purpose of the research article is to build a fuzzy model for assessing the level of poverty in the region. The authors consider the essence of the concept of “poverty” and the existing methods for calculating the level of poverty in the region. FuzzyTech software was used to build and visualize the fuzzy model. In conclusion, the process of setting the fuzzy modeling problem and a description of its direct implementation by means of the selected software are described. The test of the developed fuzzy model for assessing the poverty level was carried out on the official indicators of the Kurgan region.

Highlights

The problem of poverty in the economy is determined by the following parameters: the number of people in need of assistance, the assessment of their material resources and the financial costs required to provide assistance
Consider a case based on the indicators of the Kurgan region, when the income level is 32 thousand rubles, the total household income is 50 thousand rubles, the level of savings is 70 thousand rubles, the share of expenses on drugs is 10%, and the share of expenses on food 30% of the total budget, inflation in the country is 4.5% and financing of this region from the federal budget of the country is 44 billion rubles
Based on these indicators and on the basis of the resulting model, we can conclude that the assessment of the poverty level in the Kurgan region is at a low level and equal to 0.2923 (Figure 1)

Summary

Introduction

The problem of poverty in the economy is determined by the following parameters: the number of people in need of assistance, the assessment of their material resources and the financial costs required to provide assistance. An important condition in the context of a budget deficit is the targeting of the assistance provided. In this regard, the problem arises of an adequate assessment of the poverty level of the household as a whole and of an individual, taking into account the incompleteness and / or uncertainty of the initial information (for example, the subjective and objective assessment of the poverty level of an individual can differ significantly). The concept of absolute poverty is related to the concept of the poverty line. Absolute poverty is often measured as the number of people or households whose consumption or income is below the poverty line. Relative poverty measures set a relative poverty line and measure the income of the population to it. This does not mean that less equality always means less relative poverty, or vice versa

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Conclusion