Abstract

The north of the state of Baja California (BC) is located in one of the regions of Mexico with a high seismic risk. The predominant infrastructure in the city of Tijuana consists of reinforced masonry housing structures, making it crucial to understand the dynamic behavior of this type of structure. Using the “Vulnerability Modeller’sToolKit” (VMTK), fragility functions were obtained for low, medium, and high levels of seismic design. It was found that the probability of achieving or surpassing the different damage states (light, moderate, extensive, and complete) is high in low-height housing (1–3 floors) for an expected value of 0.50 g of PGA and in medium-height housing (4–7 floors) for an expected value of 0.5 g of SA (T = 0.5 s).Vulnerability functions were derived, and it was determined that, for a low seismic design level, low-height and medium-height structures, respectively presented loss probability rates of 30% and 44% for an expected value of 0.50 g of PGA and SA (T = 0.5 s). These fragility and vulnerability functions can be used to estimate damage and losses in future risk scenarios, thereby reducing uncertainty in the risk analysis calculations for the city of Tijuana.

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