Development of an Algorithm for Assessing the Scope of Large Forest Fire Using VIIRS-Based Data and Machine Learning

Abstract

Forest fires pose a multifaceted threat, encompassing human lives and property loss, forest resource destruction, and toxic gas release. This crucial disaster’s global occurrence and impact have risen in recent years, primarily driven by climate change. Hence, the scope and frequency of forest fires must be collected to establish disaster prevention policies and conduct relevant research projects. However, some countries do not share details, including the location of forest fires, which can make research problematic when it is necessary to know the exact location or shape of a forest fire. This non-disclosure warrants remote surveys of forest fire sites using satellites, which sidestep national information disclosure policies. Meanwhile, original data from satellites have a great advantage in terms of data acquisition in that they are independent of national information disclosure policies, making them the most effective method that can be used for environmental monitoring and disaster monitoring. The Visible Infrared Imaging Radiometer Suite (VIIRS) aboard the Suomi National Polar-Orbiting Partnership (NPP) satellite has worldwide coverage at a daily temporal resolution and spatial resolution of 375 m. It is widely used for detecting hotspots worldwide, enabling the recognition of forest fires and affected areas. However, information collection on affected regions and durations based on raw data necessitates identifying and filtering hotspots caused by industrial activities. Therefore, this study used VIIRS hotspot data collected over long periods and the Spatio-Temporal Density-Based Spatial Clustering of Applications with Noise (ST-DBSCAN) algorithm to develop ST-MASK, which masks said hotspots. By targeting the concentrated and fixed nature of these hotspots, ST-MASK is developed and used to distinguish forest fires from other hotspots, even in mountainous areas, and through an outlier detection algorithm, it generates identified forest fire areas, which will ultimately allow for the creation of a global forest fire watch system.