Development of ALOHa-G Risk Score for Detecting Postpartum Dyslipidemia Among Normoglycemic Women with Previous Gestational Diabetes: Observational Cohort Study.

Abstract

Previous gestational diabetes (pGD) is associated with a high risk of postpartum dyslipidemia (pD). Our study was aimed at investigating the prevalence of pD and estimating the risk for pD based on metabolic pregnancy parameters in normoglycemic women with pGD. 147 women with pGD and normoglycemia after delivery were divided into groups: A (n = 63) with pD and B (n = 84) with normal lipids, defined by theNational Cholesterol Education Program'sExpert Panel on Detection, Evaluation, and Treatment of High Blood Cholesterol in Adults (Adult Treatment Panel III) Final Report (NCEP ATP III). We recorded age, body mass index (BMI) at conception, fasting glucose (FG), HbA1c, total cholesterol (TC), triglycerides (Tg), low-density lipoprotein (LDL-c), and high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-c) measured mid-pregnancy and 1-6months after delivery. GD was diagnosed by 2h oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT) between the 24th and the 28th week of gestation, which was repeated after delivery to confirm normoglycemia. 42.8% had pD (group A) while 57.2% had normal lipids (group B). Group A was older (36.8 ± 2.7) than B (33.0 ± 4.2years, p < 0.001) and had a higher BMI (A 31.2 ± 6.4 vs. B 25.5 ± 2.4kg/m2, p < 0.001). Simultaneously, HbA1c and FG were higher in group A (5.4 ± 0.3, 5.1 ± 0.4) than B (5.2 ± 0.0%, p = 0.001; 4.8 ± 0.0mmol/L, p < 0.001). Also, group A had higher TC, LDL-c, and Tg [6.6 (6.1-6.9); 4.2 ± 0.4; 2.9 ± 0.8] compared to B [6.2 (5.4-6.9), p < 0.001; 3.4 ± 0.9, p = 0.001; 2.5 ± 0.6, p < 0.001], while the two groups had comparable HDL-c (A: 1.2 ± 0.3 vs. B: 1.2 ± 0.2mmol/L, p = 0.998). Calculating the cutoff for age, BMI, HbA1c, FG, LDL-c, and Tg (> 35years, 26.4kg/m2, 5.2%, 4.8, 3.9 and 2.7mmol/L, respectively), univariate regression analysis showed a difference for each (p < 0.001). Allocating 1 point to each predictor, we developed ALOHa G score, which showed high accuracy (AUC 0.931, p<0.001) for risk of pD in normoglycemic women with pGD. According to the ALOHa-G score, more women in group A were at high risk (≥ 4) and medium risk (= 3) (61.9; 34.9) for pD than in group B (4.8; 14.3), with a lower percentage at low risk for PD (≤ 2) in group A than in group B (3.2 vs. 81.0%). Our results implied a remarkable occurrence of pD in normoglycemic women with pGD. Also, the ALOHa-G score was developed based on pregnancy metabolic predictors and could be used to identify normoglycemic women with pGD who are at high risk for pD.