Abstract
Improving the decision-making efficiency in defense planning based on the capabilities of military forces and means for performing purposeful tasks requires new methodological approaches and their implementation in the form of software information-analytical tools. Given the complex information environment of defense planning, it is appropriate for the variants of capabilities development options to be chosen by experts on the methodological basis of multicriterial analysis. The research result is the development of a procedure, in which it is proposed to generate criteria and evaluate alternative options by integrating ontology, the Analytical Hierarchy Process, and the method of directed graphs. The ontological representation of the data ensures the construction of the hierarchical taxonomy of a domain and the formation of the criteria vector. The Analytical Hierarchy Process is used to conduct an expert evaluation of capabilities by their pairwise comparison against determined criteria. Experts’ judgments are visualized and controlled using directed graphs. Application of the procedure will make it possible to ensure efficiency, versatility, and simplicity of technical implementation of a procedure of decision making support. The procedure was tested on the example of choosing a capability to conduct reconnaissance for the benefit of ground artillery. It was shown that the evaluation process in the expert activity is considerably simplified due to the graph visualization. The proposed procedure introduces an innovative tool to achieve strategic goals and accomplish the basic tasks of the defense reform, which is relevant for many countries. The versatility of the procedure creates the basis for its application not only in defense but also in other force departments
Highlights
In the current context, the problem of planning the development of capabilities of defense forces in counteracting the threats based on the experience of the NATO countries [1, 2] is becoming increasingly relevant
Participating countries take measures to integrate into the Defense Planning Process (DPP), which implies the transition to the model of Capability-Based Defense Planning (CBDP)
Other proven mathematical methods can be used to solve this problem. One of these methods for ranking capabilities according to certain criteria proposed in many works is to apply the expert Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP)
Summary
The problem of planning the development of capabilities of defense forces in counteracting the threats based on the experience of the NATO countries [1, 2] is becoming increasingly relevant. Participating countries take measures to integrate into the Defense Planning Process (DPP), which implies the transition to the model of Capability-Based Defense Planning (CBDP) This concept was called “the gold defense planning standard” [3] and is implemented by the Joint Capabilities Integration and Development System (JCIDS) [4]. In some of the state guidance documents, the concept of capability is clarified as the ability of a structural unit of the armed forces (defense forces) or their totality to perform certain tasks under certain conditions of the situation, resource provision meeting the established standards. It should be mentioned, that quite often the capabilities are called capabilities carriers. There are usually tight deadlines for decision-making on choosing alternative options of capabilities
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