Abstract

(1) Purpose: This study aims to explore risk-adapted treatment for elderly patients with locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma (LA-NPC) according to their pretreatment risk stratification and the degree of comorbidity. (2) Methods: A total of 583 elderly LA-NPC patients diagnosed from January 2011 to January 2018 are retrospectively studied. A nomogram for disease-free survival (DFS) is constructed based on multivariate Cox regression analysis. The performance of the model is evaluated by using the area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristic curve and Harrell concordance index (C-index). Then, the entire cohort is divided into different risk groups according to the nomogram cutoff value determined by X-tile analysis. The degree of comorbidities is assessed by the Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI). Finally, survival rates are estimated and compared by the Kaplan–Meier method and the log-rank test. (3) Results: A nomogram for DFS is constructed with T/N classification, Epstein-Barr virus DNA and albumin. The nomogram shows well prognostic performance and significantly outperformed the tumor-node-metastasis staging system for estimating DFS (AUC, 0.710 vs. 0.607; C-index, 0.668 vs. 0.585; both p < 0.001). The high-risk group generated by nomogram has significantly poorer survival compared with the low-risk group (3-year DFS, 76.7% vs. 44.6%, p < 0.001). For high-risk patients with fewer comorbidities (CCI = 2), chemotherapy combined with radiotherapy is associated with significantly better survival (p < 0.05) than radiotherapy alone. (4) Conclusion: A prognostic nomogram for DFS is constructed with generating two risk groups. Combining risk stratification and the degree of comorbidities can guide risk-adapted treatment for elderly LA-NPC patients.

Highlights

  • Nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) is a special type of head and neck cancer with a high incidence in Southern China and Southeast Asia [1,2]

  • National Comprehensive Cancer Network (NCCN) guidelines recommend RT alone for early-stage NPC and radiotherapy combined with platinum-based chemotherapy (CRT) for locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma (LA-NPC)

  • The results show only 11% of elderly patients die from therapeutic toxicity, treatment-related toxicity is not negligible in determining chemotherapy due to the fact that elderly patients may value the quality of life over the extension of life

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Summary

Introduction

Nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) is a special type of head and neck cancer with a high incidence in Southern China and Southeast Asia [1,2]. Treatment decisions for NPC are mainly based on the American Joint Committee on Cancer/Union for International Cancer Control (AJCC/UICC) tumor-nodemetastasis (TNM) staging system. National Comprehensive Cancer Network (NCCN) guidelines recommend RT alone for early-stage NPC and radiotherapy combined with platinum-based chemotherapy (CRT) for locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma (LA-NPC). The treatment strategies recommended by the international guidelines come from the results of several clinical trials [6,7,8,9] and limited elderly patients are included in these trials due to strict inclusion criteria. For elderly patients with LA-NPC, whether combination chemotherapy can further improve survival remains unclear

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