Abstract

The main purpose of the work is to develop a factor model of the indicators of the graph of the trains movement. The least squares method and factor models of systematic analysis, analytic, regression modeling were used. The “free period”, which are given for repair work on railway plots, were studied the levels of influence on the movement of trains at the station and passages. The parameters of the TMG indicators were analyzed analytically and the factors that negatively affect their performance were determined. On the basis of the identified influencing factors, an infological scheme of TMG indicators was created. A factor model has been developed based on factors that negatively affect TMG performance. This factor model ensures the standards and reliability of TMG indicators for determining the transferring capability of railway sections and the carrying capacity of rail transport. Key words: Train traffic graph, factor model, regression modeling, train, station, passage, railway section, transfer capability.

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