Development and validation of a physically-based, national-scale hydrological model in China

Abstract

Expansion of a detailed hydrological modelling from catchment- to national- or continental-scale is of important theoretical and practical significance, yet faces many challenges. We developed a high-resolution, physically-based hydrological model named WEP-CN (Water and Energy transfer Processes in China) for China. Different climatic and hydrological conditions and geological structures as well as their impact on infiltration and runoff were examined and incorporated in WEP-CN. The study area (9.6 million km2) was divided into 19,406 sub-watersheds and 81,687 contour belts. The computation units, model input, and model structure and parameters in WEP-CN were improved to obtain a well-defined simulation area, a more reliable input as well as a detailed description of soil moisture movement in several special vadose zones such as karst development, swelling and frozen soil. Continuous simulations of various natural hydrological processes were conducted for 62 years from 1956 to 2017. We demonstrated the efficacy of our model by comparing simulated and statistical monthly streamflow at 203 hydrological stations across the country. For the validation period of 1981–2000, the Nash-Sutcliff Efficiency (NSE) was found to be larger than 0.7 at 80% of the stations, and the absolute value of relative error (RE) was less than 10% at 95% of the stations. Our result highlights the benefit of incorporating new mechanisms on the special vadose zone water movement and accounts for the impact of elevation change on meteorological and vegetation variables. This paper can serve as a reference for large-scale hydrological simulation with diverse climate, topography and underlying surface conditions.