Development and Validation of a Novel Ferroptosis-Related Gene Signature for Prognosis and Immunotherapy in Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Abstract

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a cancer that is sensitive to ferroptosis, and immunotherapy has emerged as a promising treatment for HCC patients. However, the prognostic potential of ferroptosis-related genes (FRGs) and the effect of ferroptosis on the tumor immune microenvironment in HCC remain largely obscure. Here, we analyzed the expression pattern of FRGs using the TCGA, ICGC and GEO databases. The expression of most FRGs was upregulated in HCC tissues compared with normal liver tissues. Three independent clusters were determined by consensus clustering analysis based on FRG expression in HCC. Cluster 3 exhibited higher expression, unfavorable prognosis, and higher histological tumor stage and grade than clusters 1 and 2. CIBERSORT analysis indicated different infiltrating levels of various immune cells among the three clusters. Moreover, most immune checkpoint genes were highly expressed in cluster 3. Univariate Cox regression and LASSO regression analyses were performed to develop a five FRG-based prognostic risk model using the TCGA and ICGC datasets. Kaplan–Meier analysis and ROC curves were performed to verify the prognostic potential of the risk model. A nomogram containing independent prognostic factors was further developed. Compared with low-risk patients, high-risk HCC patients exhibited worse overall survival (OS). In addition, this risk model was significantly correlated with the infiltrating levels of six major types of immune cells in HCC. Finally, the relationships between the five FRGs and drug sensitivity were investigated. The present study suggests that the five FRGs could elucidate the molecular mechanisms of HCC and lead to a new direction for the improvement of predictive, preventive, and personalized medicine for HCC.