Development and Implementation of A Hybrid Multi-Criteria Decision Making Technique

Abstract

n modern aircraft design, increased attention is being paid to the conceptual and preliminary design phases so as to increase the odds of creating a design that will ultimately be successful at the completion of the design process. Since aerospace systems are complex systems with interacting disciplines and technologies, the decision makers dealing with such design problems are involved in balancing multiple, potentially conflicting attributes/criteria, transforming a large amount of customer supplied guidelines into a solidly defined set of requirement definitions. As a result, the criteria have to be all simultaneously taken into account and a compromise essentially becomes part of the decision making process. Various methods and techniques are available to deal with such sort of multi-criteria decision making (MCDM) problems. In the 1970’s, Saaty proposed the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP), which facilitates the MCDM problems that have a hierarchical structure of attributes by reducing complex decisions to a series of pair-wise comparisons. In this method, the preference information is elicited as the pair-wise comparisons between attributes or alternatives and treated using the eigenvector method. The other straightforward method to handle the MCDM problem is the Overall Evaluation Criterion (OEC) technique, presented in Ref 3. The OEC is a single metric and is obtained by summing multiple non-dimensional attribute metrics normalized by the metric values of a relevant baseline. Another commonly used MCDM technique is the Technique for Order Preference by Similarity to the Ideal Solution (TOPSIS). The “best” solution chosen by TOPSIS is the alternative that is the closest to the positive ideal solution and the furthest from the negative ideal solution. The separation between each alternative solution and the ideal solution, which is determined by the weighted criteria, is rather sensitive to criterion weights, so typically several weighting scenarios are investigated to determine the final solution. Among these developed MCDM methods, different methods have different underlying assumptions, information requirements, analysis models, and decision rules that are designed for solving a certain class of decision making problems. This implies that it is critical to use the most appropriate method to solve the problem under consideration since the use of unsuitable method always leads to misleading design decisions. Consequently, bad design decisions will result in big loss to the society, such as property damage or personal injury. Thus, it is necessary to review the existing MCDM methods, discuss in depth their advantages, disadvantages, applicability, computational complexity, etc. in order to make right decision when choosing the right method for the given problem. In this paper a hybrid MCDM method is developed to deal with the problem under consideration. Relative weights of the evaluation criteria are elicited by using the eigenvector method to describe the decision maker’s preference information. The TOPSIS method is used to analyze the qualitative and quantitative data of input parameters and find the solution to the given problem. An aircraft technology selection problem is conducted as a proof of implementation to demonstrate the functionality and effectiveness of the proposed methodology.