Developing regional conservation priorities using red lists: a hypothetical example from the Swiss lowlands

Marine ecosystems face a variety of threats induced by environmental changes and anthropogenic activities. Seabirds are predators often used as indicator species to monitor the status and health of their communities and the environment. Here, we present the results from a 35-year monitoring time series of Brown Skuas (Catharacta antarctica lonnbergi) and South Polar Skuas (C. maccormicki) breeding sympatrically in the Maritime Antarctic on Fildes Peninsula and Potter Peninsula, King George Island. Our results reveal high annual variability in the number and proportions of breeding pairs across the entire study period. Apart from that, the breeding pair numbers of Brown Skuas were relatively stable. By contrast, the breeding pair number of mixed species and South Polar Skua pairs increased substantially until 2003/2004 and 2010/2011, respectively. Both pair types experienced a decline in the breeding pair numbers within recent years. Despite the strong fluctuations in the number of breeding pairs, the sum of occupied territories has been stable during the last 9 years. The breeding success of all pair types declined significantly, and within recent years, both South Polar Skuas and mixed species pairs completely failed to produce offspring. The ultimate causes driving the breeding success decline remain unclear. The overall increase in the number of skuas might have raised density-dependent factors and resulted in a higher predation rate between conspecifics. The more recent total breeding failures, however, indicate a drastic shortage in local food availability.

For many species, breeding population size is an important metric for assessing population status. A variety of simple methods are often used to estimate this metric for ground-nesting birds that nest in open habitats (e.g., beaches, riverine sandbars). The error and bias associated with estimates derived using these methods vary in relation to differing monitoring intensities and detection rates. However, these errors and biases are often difficult to obtain, poorly understood, and largely unreported. A method was developed to estimate the number of breeding pairs using counts of nests and broods from monitoring data where multiple surveys were made throughout a single breeding season (breeding pair estimator; BPE). The BPE method was compared to two commonly used estimation methods using simulated data from an individual-based model that allowed for the comparison of biases and accuracy. The BPE method underestimated the number of breeding pairs, but generally performed better than the other two commonly used methods when detection rates were low and monitoring frequency was high. As detection rates and time between surveys increased, the maximum nest and brood count method performs similar to the BPE. The BPE was compared to four commonly used methods to estimate breeding pairs for empirically derived data sets on the Platte River. Based on our simulated data, we expect our BPE to be closest to the true number of breeding pairs as compared to other methods. The methods tested resulted in substantially different estimates of the numbers of breeding pairs; however, coefficients from trend analyses were not statistically different. When data from multiple nest and brood surveys are available, the BPE appears to result in reasonably precise estimates of numbers of breeding pairs. Regardless of the estimation method, investigators are encouraged to acknowledge whether the method employed is likely to over- or underestimate breeding pairs. This study provides a means to recognize the potential biases in breeding pair estimates.

Population dynamics of the White StorkCiconia ciconiain Slovenia between 1999 and 2010Between 1999 and 2010, an annual census of the White StorkCiconia ciconiabreeding population was carried out in Slovenia using standardised methods. The Stork's population was concentrated in the NE and SE parts of Slovenia. In the 1999-2010 period, the breeding range of its population in Slovenia expanded in NW direction (the Savska ravan region), in SW direction (the Notranjsko podolje and Pivško podolje regions), but the species also colonized a part between Central and SE Slovenia (Dolenjsko podolje). Between 193 and 240 pairs were breeding during the study period, 209 pairs on average (HPa). The largest number of breeding pairs was recorded in 2004, the smallest in 2005. During the study period, breeding pairs (HPa) occupied 350 discrete nests in total. Average number of breeding pairs that raised juveniles (HPm) was 161. The highest fecundity was recorded in 2004, when 534 juveniles (JZG) fledged, the lowest in 2006, with only 219 fledged juveniles. On average, 414 juveniles fledged per year. The breeding pairs' (JZa) average breeding success in these 12 years was 2.02, the highest in 2000 (2.41), the lowest in 2006 (1.09). Average breeding success for the successful breeding pairs (JZm) was 2.57. The highest was in 2007 (2.94), the lowest in 2006 (2.07). The largest number of breeding pairs in 2004 and 2008 can be explained by the favourable fecundity in the population in 2000 and 2004, as juveniles become sexually mature at the age of 3-5 years, and at that age they generally return to the breeding grounds for the first time. The lowest number of breeding pairs and poor breeding success in 2005 and 2006 was caused by late arrival of White Storks to the breeding grounds and by unfavourable weather conditions during the breeding period. The pattern of nests placement did not change generally during the last 12 years. The largest proportion of nests was positioned on various kinds of poles (81%) and on chimneys (18%). In total, 27 area surveyors and 239 assistants helped in census realisation.

Corrigendum

The Falkland Islands currently supports one of the largest Southern Rockhopper Penguin (Eudyptes c. chrysocome) populations. Archipelago-wide censuses conducted in 2000 and 2005 revealed that the number of breeding pairs had declined by 30 % during this period. To establish whether the breeding population continued to decline, an archipelago-wide census was conducted in 2010. We report a conservative estimate of 319,163 ±SD 24,820 pairs breeding at the Falkland Islands in 2010. This represents a 51 % increase when compared with the number counted in 2005. A simple stochastic population model was developed to investigate the extent to which changes in demographic parameters between 2005 and 2010 could account for the increase in breeding pairs. The population model predicted a 38 % increase in the number of breeding pairs over a 5-year period (289,431 ±SD 24,615). The increase in the number of breeding pairs was therefore probably attributed to improved vital rates in the period between the 2005 and 2010 archipelago-wide censuses in combination with other factors such as a reduction in the proportion of adult birds that abstained from breeding. Based on the 2010 Falkland Islands estimate, the global population of the subspecies E. c. chrysocome is now closer to 870,000 breeding pairs of which the Falkland Islands accounts for approximately 36 %, the second largest proportion after Chile. We conclude that despite fluctuations, the number of Southern Rockhopper Penguins breeding at the Falkland Islands has increased over the last 15 years and suggest that the ‘Vulnerable’ conservation status of the species be re-assessed.

The Sone tidal flat in Kitakyushu city has a dry flat of about 517ha during ebb tides. It is one of the nicest spots for the wild bird observation through the four seasons. It is also famous as the breeding ground of Horseshoe crab (Tachypleus tridentatus). Although large-scale landfills have been recently constructed around the Sone tidal flat, number of Horseshoe crab breeding pairs laying eggs have been increasing. The aim of this study is to identify changes in wave environments due to the large-scale landfills through a numerical wave model and to understand physical habitat environments of Horseshoe crab larvas through field studies.A drastic decrease in the wave intensity due to the large-scale landfills is confirmed and may be one of the reasons for increase in number of the breeding pairs. Also, basic physical characteristics of Horseshoe crab larva's habitat environments are identified and discussed.

Predicting how bird populations may respond to climate change is a major challenge which could be addressed by understanding how past environmental processes have driven the variations of breeding population size and productivity. In inhabited regions, this issue may be complicated by the interference associated with heterogeneous levels of habitat management. Here, we have explored how several hydrological variables influenced the breeding of the Greater Flamingo Phoenicopterus roseus in the Camargue (Rhone delta, southern France) over a 28‐year period (1974–2001). In this region, Flamingos breed in a commercial salt pan. They forage in both salt pans and adjacent brackish lagoons. We hypothesized that breeding numbers, productivity and body condition of chicks at fledging were influenced positively by water levels of the Vaccares, the main lagoon of the delta, in spring (water and food availability) and the Rhone discharge in winter (nutrient availability in the salt pans). We controlled for variations of the flooding date of the breeding salt pan by the salt company and the size of the breeding island. We first found the Vaccares water levels and Rhone discharge to be negatively correlated with the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO). Secondly, the number of Flamingo breeding pairs (range 3560–22 200) increased by 1767 ± 1418 (95% CI) with a 10‐day advance of the flooding date of the breeding salt pan and by 1146 ± 1081 per 10‐cm water level rise in the Vaccares. Productivity was 0.46 ± 0.41 chicks per pair and could not be explained by any of the variables considered. Finally, chick body condition decreased with the number of breeding pairs and Rhone discharge. Our results show that (1) this intensely managed system remains sensitive to large‐scale climate variations, (2) the breeding of the Greater Flamingo is affected by both climate variations and management of the salt pan, and (3) the expected enhancement of delta productivity by high river discharge was absent, probably prevented by dykes and embankments along the river. The response of bird populations to climate variations can thus be complex in intensely managed biological systems as found in the Mediterranean. We encourage pursuing such analyses incorporating anthropogenic variables explicitly in order to expand our capacity to make inference on the future of these systems.

In many colonial waterbirds, reproductive success is affected by water levels around the colonies. In a study of the Greater Flamingo (Phoenicopterus ruber roseus) in the Camargue, southern France, we examined annual variation in water levels around the breeding colony site between 1984 and 1991 in relation to (1) the number of breeding pairs, (2) colony productivity (fledglings per breeding pair), and (3) physical condition of fledglings. The number of breeding pairs each year was highly variable and was positively correlated with high water levels during the March—July period. There was no significant relationship between the number of breeding pairs and the number of chicks fledged. Although the productivity of the colony was not affected by water levels during the chick—raising period, fledglings were heavier in years with high water levels. There was no relationship between colony productivity or the absolute number of chicks fledged and the average body condition of chicks in the creche. Differences between the 1984 and 1985 cohorts in the frequency of young birds making breeding attempts (i.e., ages 5 and 6 yr) suggested that body condition at fledging may have important life history consequences. Estimation of reproductive performance in colonial waterbirds, usually limited to the average nest productivity, could be improved by considering average body condition of chicks at fledging as well.

Wildfowl have been censused annually since 1978 at Angarnsjöängen (59°33'N, 18°10'E), a shallow formerly drained eutrophic lake, extensively restored 1992­—1993. The breeding success of wildfowl has been monitored since 1995. Breeding data on Goldeneye Bucephala clangula, from 1995 to 2002, are presented. During this period the population increased from slightly less than 10 pairs to around 15 pairs although no nest boxes were provided. Mean brood size (of small young) was 6.8±3.2 pulli, and it did not vary between years or with number of breeding pairs or broods. Broods hatched early in the season tended to be larger than those hatched late. There was a significant negative relationship between the number of breeding pairs and breeding success (measured as number of broods per breeding pair or as number of small young per breeding pair). The total number of small young in the population was independent of the number of breeding pairs (44±9.5 pulli annually). These results suggest that Goldeneye has a negatively density dependent reproductive output in Angarnsjöängen, and together with similar results from a study conducted in Finland, it implies that this may be a general pattern in this species.

The Great Basin White-faced Ibis (Plegadis chihi) population is recognized as a Species of Management because of its small population size, limited number of traditional breeding sites, and vulnerability to habitat loss. The ability to predict future population trends and develop wetland management strategies is limited because many aspects of their breeding ecology and population dynamics are unknown. 1 examined White-faced Ibis nesting ecology and breeding habitat selection at the Lower Carson River Basin, Nevada, from 1995-1997, and the relationship between the local surface water conditions and trends in the number of breeding pairs from 1970-1997 on a local and regional scale. Reproductive success was highly variable among colonies (n=20) and years. Seasonal trends in nest success and clutch size were evident during each year of the study. Predation, weather exposure, and human disturbance accounted for the majority of nest failures. Nest height above the water’s surface was the only nest site attribute that clearly affected nest success. White-faced Ibis nested indiscriminately within stands of emergent vegetation and did not appear to use microhabitat preferences to select colony or nest sites. Habitat plasticity in colony and nest site selection may provide a selective advantage in unstable wetland habitats. The criteria used to evaluate nesting habitat may pertain to the social aspects of colony formation. The number of breeding pairs in the Lower Carson River Basin was positively related to local surface water conditions. May of the current year, and May-August and October of the previous year explained 71.2% of the variation in the number of breeding pairs. Surface water conditions in the Lower Carson River Basin were not correlated with fluctuations in the number of breeding pairs at Malheur National Wildlife Refuge in Oregon.

Predator control and sport hunting are often used to reduce predator populations and livestock depredations, – but the efficacy of lethal control has rarely been tested. We assessed the effects of wolf mortality on reducing livestock depredations in Idaho, Montana and Wyoming from 1987–2012 using a 25 year time series. The number of livestock depredated, livestock populations, wolf population estimates, number of breeding pairs, and wolves killed were calculated for the wolf-occupied area of each state for each year. The data were then analyzed using a negative binomial generalized linear model to test for the expected negative relationship between the number of livestock depredated in the current year and the number of wolves controlled the previous year. We found that the number of livestock depredated was positively associated with the number of livestock and the number of breeding pairs. However, we also found that the number of livestock depredated the following year was positively, not negatively, associated with the number of wolves killed the previous year. The odds of livestock depredations increased 4% for sheep and 5–6% for cattle with increased wolf control - up until wolf mortality exceeded the mean intrinsic growth rate of wolves at 25%. Possible reasons for the increased livestock depredations at ≤25% mortality may be compensatory increased breeding pairs and numbers of wolves following increased mortality. After mortality exceeded 25%, the total number of breeding pairs, wolves, and livestock depredations declined. However, mortality rates exceeding 25% are unsustainable over the long term. Lethal control of individual depredating wolves may sometimes necessary to stop depredations in the near-term, but we recommend that non-lethal alternatives also be considered.

Potential biological removal of albatrosses and petrels with minimal demographic information

[The results of a research on Lanner in southern Sicily, carried out between 1978 and 2018, are reported. 32 Lanner nesting territories have been taken into account, from sea level up to 1200 m of altitude. Until 2005, there were about 25 nesting pairs in the area; but in the following years there was a steady decline. At least 16 sites have been gradually abandoned because of human persecution and, at a lesser degree, of the interference with the Peregrine falcon, Falco peregrinus, and the Bonelli’s eagle, Hieraaetus fasciatus. At present, the number of Lanner pairs breeding in the study area is around 12. From 120 nesting attempts followed, 216 youngs fledged, with a productivity of 1.80, with breeding success of 1.98, fledging rate of 2.40. Out of 109 nests in which there was egg laying, 90 were successful. Out of successful nests, 11 fledged 1 young (12.2%); 37 nests 2 youngs (41.1 %); 37 nests, 3 youngs (41.1%); 5 nests, 4 youngs (5.6%). The number of pairs that have laid eggs, in relation to the number of the monitored nests, was of 90.8%. The ratio between the number of nests in which youngs were raised and the number of pairs that laid their eggs was 88.1%. The ratio between the number of nests from which youngs fledged and the number of breeding pairs was 93.7%.The number of successfully breeding nests, in relation to the number of monitored nests, was 75%. As regards the diet, birds represent Lanner’s most frequent preys. Out of the 415 preys identified, 383 (92.3%) are made up of birds, 29 (7%) by small mammals, 3 (0.7%) by reptiles. In addition to human persecution, the population of Lanner in Sicily is influenced by interspecific competition, particularly with the Peregrine falcon; but in 2 cliffs, about 1 km long and with a substantial wealth of prey, both falcons have been successfully reproducing for over 10 years].
 [Article in Italian]

A study was conducted to determine the influence of forest road on breeding of tits in artificial nest boxes in deciduous, coniferous and mixed forests in the Gwanak Arboretum (37° 25′ 05′' N, 126° 56′ 85″ E) of Seoul National University, Anyang, Korea from November 2002 to June 2003. Three tits species, varied tit (Parus varius), marsh tit (P. palustris) and great tit (P. major), breeding in artificial nest boxes were investigated on number of breeding pairs, cultch size, and egg measurement. Resuls showed that the breeding pairs of varied tit was more in 75–150 m area than in 0–75m area from forest road for all the three study sites, and the clutch size and egg measurements (weight, Major axis and Minor axis) of varied tit was also higher in the area of 75–150 m than in the area of 0–75 m, while no differences in number of breeding pairs and clutch size were found for, marsh tit and great tit between the two areas. Egg measurement of great tit was also higher in forest interior area than in forest edge area. It is concluded that varied tit were most significantly influenced by forest road, followed by great tit, whereas marsh tit were not influenced by forest road. Artificial nest box is roved to be good for cavity nester in disturbed areas by human activities. Supply of artificial nest can help population protection and management of bird species.

1. The three largest breeding colonies of barnacle geese Branta leucopsis in the Baltic area were studied from their natural establishments in 1971, 1982 and 1987, respectively, to 1993. The number of breeding pairs increased from one pair in 1971 to 1550, 225 and 150 pairs in the largest, second largest, and third largest colonies, respectively, in 1993. 2. Data on clutch size and number of hatched and fledged young were collected from the beginning or the middle of the 1980s. In the largest colony most data on reproductive success were obtained from observations of individually marked geese. 3. Mean clutch size differed among years and colonies. However, there was no trend for decreasing mean clutch size with increasing density in any of the colonies. Hatching success did not decrease with increasing density in the largest colony. 4. The production of fledged young per breeding pair declined drastically in the largest colony as numbers of breeding pairs rose. This decline was mainly caused by an increasing proportion of the breeding pairs failing to produce any fledged young at all. 5. The relative contribution of the smaller colonies to the total production of fledged young in the Baltic area increased considerably over the study years. In 1993, colony 2 hosted only about 13% of the number of breeding pairs in colonies 1 and 2 combined, but it produced about 38% of the fledged young. 6. Our results point out the need to study populations of colonially nesting geese on a colony by colony basis in order to detect density-dependent effects on reproduction.