Abstract

Rising instances of prolonged inundation due to climate-aggravated high tide flooding are economically burdensome for resource-crunched developing nations that bear enormous damage due to loss of built infrastructure (housing in this case). Regardless of the loss, coastal flood impact on buildings is rarely given precedence. The mud building typology in India captures 34% of existing housing demand primarily within ruralIndia; for instance, 75% of the housing in Sagar Island uses mud as the dominant construction material, making it an ideal case for the proposed research. The multivariate nature of damage and empirical data constraint associated with mud buildings propels the development of two unconventional damage assessment approaches using multivariate-probabilistic technique. The proposed literature-based approach uses logical reasoning based on the available scientific evidence whereas the lab-based approach uses the insights from structural analysis of scaled model. The damage matrix created from both the approaches are used to analyse a common flood data (depth & duration) generated using 1000 Montecarlo simulations. The resultant Damage Stage values confirm the versatility of either approach over spatial (local to regional)—temporal (flood character and intensity) dimensions. The lab-based approach proved to be a better alternative considering the availability of continuous records on damage behaviour and precise information on the flood threshold of dominant building material, a crucial component of the multivariate damage assessment process.

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