Abstract

Due to the high effectiveness of cancer screening and therapies, the diagnosis of second primary cancers (SPCs) has increased in women with breast cancer. The present study was conducted to develop a novel machine learning–based classification scheme for predicting the risk factors of SPCs in breast cancer survivors. The proposed scheme was based on the XGBoost classifier with the following four comparable strategies: transformation, resampling, clustering, and ensemble learning, to improve the training balanced accuracy. Results suggested that the best prediction accuracy for an empirical case is the XGBoost associated with the strategies of resampling and clustering. The experimental results showed that age, sequence of radiotherapy and surgery, surgical margins of the primary site, human epidermal growth factor, high-dose clinical target volume, and estrogen receptors are relatively more important risk factors associated with SPCs in patients with breast cancer. These risk factors should be monitored for the early detection of breast cancer. In conclusion, the proposed scheme can support the important influence of personality and clinical symptom representations in all phases of the primary treatment trajectory. Our results further suggested that adaptive machine learning techniques require the incorporation of significant variables for optimal predictions.

Highlights

  • The effectiveness of cancer screening and therapies has resulted in an increase in the number of diagnosed second primary cancers (SPCs) throughout the world

  • Our dataset suffered from the class imbalance problem because the total number in the class of breast cancer survivors was far less than the total number of another class of breast cancer survivors without SPCs

  • On the basis of the evidence obtained in this study, it can be concluded that the positive correlation between breast cancer and SPCs is not an accidental result

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Summary

Introduction

The effectiveness of cancer screening and therapies has resulted in an increase in the number of diagnosed second primary cancers (SPCs) throughout the world. Breast cancer is the most commonly diagnosed malignant tumor in women (Mellemkjaer et al, 2006; Kamińska et al, 2015; The Taiwan Cancer Registry, 2019a; The Taiwan Cancer Registry, 2019b). The age-adjusted incidence rates have increased from 12.07 per 100,000 women in 1979 to 73.60 per 100,000 women in 2016 (The Taiwan Cancer Registry, 2019a; The Taiwan Cancer Registry, 2019b). The definition of Multiple Primary Malignant Neoplasms was first published in 1932 by Warren and Gates. According to the report by Warren and Gates, both the primary and secondary tumors should be malignant with histologic

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