Deterministic vs. stochastic dynamics of a predator–prey system with disease in prey: Impact of fear and supplementary foods

Abstract

In this study, we delve into the dynamics of a generalist predator–prey system with prevalence of a disease in the prey population and the presence of predator-induced fear. In this intricate ecological web, the fear response triggered by predators influences the birth rate of susceptible prey population and also escalates intra-specific competition among them. In an effort to encapsulate a more realistic scenario, we extend our deterministic model to its stochastic counterpart by introducing environmental white noise that impacts the mortality rates of both prey and predator species. Comprehensive mathematical analyses are performed on both the deterministic and stochastic systems to elucidate their qualitative behaviors. Specifically, we derive conditions under which the stochastic system exhibits a unique global positive solution and explore the potential extinction of species within the ecosystem. To unravel the intricate dynamics numerically, we perform sensitivity of parameters, and construct one- and two-parameter bifurcation diagrams. Our investigations reveal that when the costs of fear surpass specific thresholds and disease incidence is high, both the susceptible and infected prey populations face extinction. Notably, the introduction of supplementary foods can lead to system’s destabilization, potentially pushing it towards a state where only predators can persist. Moreover, we observe that lower intensities of white noise have minimal impact on the system’s dynamics, while higher noise intensities introduce substantial fluctuations and may precipitate the extinction of species within the ecosystem. Furthermore, we elucidate the abundances of prey and predator species within the ecosystem through histogram plots.