Abstract

The rate at which coronary artery revascularization procedures are performed remains inconsistent, and their risks may be greater and long-term benefits less than imagined by the general public and open to considerable inter-individual variation. However, these risks and benefits can be explicitly estimated for an individual patient from a brief medical history and the results of a standard exercise test by a computer program that uses conventional medical decision making techniques. The program first estimates the prior and post-exercise test probability of coronary artery disease and then employs a decision analysis model to define the risks and benefits associated with different treatment options. These results are provided in a printed report that can become part of the clinical record to be reviewed with the patient. In contrast with traditional clinical intuition, the program consistently and explicitly defines the risks and benefits of coronary artery disease treatments. The program forces physicians and their patients to appraise critically the information and beliefs upon which they base their clinical decisions.

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