Determining key monitoring areas for the 10 most important weed species under a changing climate

Abstract

On a global level, weed species have a large potential to threaten ecosystems under a changing climate. The determination of key monitoring areas is an effective approach to prevent and control the spread of such species. The 10 most important weeds have been listed on a global scale. It is therefore crucial to delineate the areas with high monitoring ranks for the 10 most important weed species under climate change. We coupled conservation prioritization analysis with habitat suitability modelling to determine key monitoring areas for these species, based on different types and vulnerability levels of biomes under current and future (i.e., 2040–2069 and 2070–2099) scenarios. We determined some specific biomes (i.e., tropical and subtropical biomes, flooded grasslands and savannas, Mediterranean forests, woodlands and scrub, and mangroves) as key monitoring areas for the 10 most important weed species under a changing climate. These biomes are distributed in most regions of Latin America, the United States, Europe, central and south Africa, south and southeast Asia, southeast Australia, and New Zealand, including large vulnerable ecoregions. Tropical and subtropical grasslands, savannas, and shrublands were particularly vulnerable, because these biomes had the largest area with a high monitoring rank, and this rank was predicted to further increase in the near future. Our study highlights the importance of effective management strategies for the prevention and control of these species across different biomes on a global scale.