Abstract
This work aims to develop simulation models that allow locating adequate areas for forest plantations in the state of Mexico. It combines multi-criteria evaluation (MCE) techniques and geographic information systems (GIS) to analyze and simulate future scenarios for forest plantations under three major objectives: commercial production, restoration and protection, and agroforestry. Results demonstrate the potential of this method to integrate different variables of social, economic and environmental nature, and for solve some problems of forest activities and management by locating the most suitable areas for this forestal activity.
Highlights
The ongoing accelerated processes of deforestation and forest degradation are factors that influence global change through the production of carbon dioxide emissions
The results show that the values of mean suitability of the plots are very similar in both models, the one with Multi-Objective Land Allocation (MOLA) tends to slightly improve the suitability level, mainly in restoring and protection and agro-forest plantations (Figure 10)
The obtained results show how these studies can contribute to decision making processes, since the generated information can be useful for planners to analyze and optimally manage the forest ecosystems of the region; likewise, the results provide information on the current state of the forest coverage and the future reforestation scenarios that might work
Summary
The ongoing accelerated processes of deforestation and forest degradation are factors that influence global change through the production of carbon dioxide emissions. It is necessary to preserve forests and find a way, from diverse approaches, to manage them adequately, i.e., forests must be considered multipurpose biological systems. The planning of forest resources involves a complex decision-making problem, since any decision made simultaneously affects the other criteria. Such management must be undertaken considering some aspects related to the sustainability of the system to avoid its deterioration ([3] Romero, 1989). While designing policies for the optimal management of a forest system, it is necessary to have a well-defined structure of environmental, economic and social criteria. Thereby, it is recommendable to formulate models that allow planning the use of forest systems within the framework of multi-criteria decision theory
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