Abstract

The rapid increase in the number of disabled elders and great economic and social changes call for a synchronised development of long-term care services. The aim of this study was to identify the factors determining the preference for future living arrangements, forecasting the demand for long-term care services. A cross-sectional survey was conducted in Kunshan between June and July 2018. The stratified sampling method was used in this survey. The multinomial logistic regression model was used to explore the influencing factors. The most preferred future living arrangement was to live at home. Individual income, number of children alive, life satisfaction and medical insurance were significantly associated with the preference for future living arrangement. Our study suggested that home-based long-term care should be promoted to meet the expectations of the elderly and caregivers, and special attention should be given to the elderly with low individual income.

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