Abstract
In 1984 Sichuan Provinces crude birth rate reached the historically low level of 10.8/1000 below the rates of most developed countries in that year. But a pronounced rise in the CBR for 1985-86--primarily the result of overconfidence among family planning officials regarding the success of their efforts to control fertility--led to a resurgence of population growth. 2nd and higher order births increased and some localities within the province virtually abandoned controls over early marriage and early childbearing. Although Chinas local governments have responded to the recent upturn in fertility with a more thorough application of the one-child policy giving permission for more 2nd births will not jeopardize the countrys long-term population target if young couples observe late marriage and late childbearing and avoid unplanned births. (authors) (summaries in ENG FRE SPA)
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