Abstract
We reexamine the well-known problem of “threshold behavior” or “performance breakdown” in the detection-estimation of very closely spaced emitters. In this extreme regime, we analyze the performance for maximum-likelihood estimation (MLE) of directions-of-arrival (DOA) for two close Gaussian sources over the range of sample volumes and signal-to-noise ratios (SNRs) where the correct number of sources is reliably estimated by information-theoretic criteria (ITC), but where one of the DOA estimates is severely erroneous (“outlier”). We show that random matrix theory (RMT) applied to the evaluation of theoretical MLE performance gives a relatively simple and accurate analytical description of the threshold behavior of MLE and ITC. In particular, the introduced “single-cluster” criterion provides accurate “ambiguity bounds” for the outliers.
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