Abstract

The present study aimed at investigating the long-term degradation of vegetation in Baluchistan in southwest Asia. To achieve the objective NDVI products of the MODIS sensor on Terra Satellite (MOD13A3) with spatial resolution of 1 1 km for a period of 16 years (2000-2015) were used. After obtaining images from the NASA land processes distributed active archive center, all images downloaded for the study area were mosaicked and referenced by Universal Transverse Mercator Project System and by using the nearest-neighbour re-sampling method. Then, on a pixel-based scale, the trend of long-term changes in vegetation was studied using the seasonal Mann-Kendall non-parametric test. The results show that 1.23% of the total area under study had a long-term decreasing trend in vegetation. Out of this 1.23%, 0.33% were significant at a probability level of a = 0.01, 0.24% was significant at a probability level of a = 0.05, and 0.12% were significant at a probability level of a = 0.1. The decreasing trend of 0.54% of them was not confirmed at any of the significant levels. Among the various types of vegetation, shrublands and croplands had the most significant long-term decreasing changes, which could be dangerous signs of ecotones degradation as well as weakening the sustainable rural livelihoods in this land.

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