Abstract

The monitoring of annual burned forest area is commonly used to evaluate forest fire carbon release and forest recovery and can provide information on the evolution of carbon sources and sinks. In this work, a new method for mapping annual burned area using four types of change metrics constructed from Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) data for Manitoba, Canada, was developed for the 2003–2007 period. The proposed method included the following steps: (1) four types of change metrics constructed from MODIS composite data; (2) Stochastic Gradient Boosting algorithm; and (3) two thresholds to ascertain the final burned area map. Fire-event records from the Canadian National Fire Database (CNFDB) for Manitoba were used to train and validate the proposed algorithm. The predicted burned area was within 91.8% of the CNFDB results for all of the study years. The results indicate that the presented metrics could retain spectral information necessary to discriminate between burned and unburned forests while reducing the effects of clouds and other noise typically present in single-date imagery. A visual comparison to Thematic Mapper (TM) images further revealed that in some areas the mapping provided improvement to the CNFDB data set.

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