Abstract
Abstract. Temporal variations in the amount of radionuclides released into the atmosphere during the Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Station (FNPS1) accident and their atmospheric and marine dispersion are essential to evaluate the environmental impacts and resultant radiological doses to the public. In this paper, we estimate the detailed atmospheric releases during the accident using a reverse estimation method which calculates the release rates of radionuclides by comparing measurements of air concentration of a radionuclide or its dose rate in the environment with the ones calculated by atmospheric and oceanic transport, dispersion and deposition models. The atmospheric and oceanic models used are WSPEEDI-II (Worldwide version of System for Prediction of Environmental Emergency Dose Information) and SEA-GEARN-FDM (Finite difference oceanic dispersion model), both developed by the authors. A sophisticated deposition scheme, which deals with dry and fog-water depositions, cloud condensation nuclei (CCN) activation, and subsequent wet scavenging due to mixed-phase cloud microphysics (in-cloud scavenging) for radioactive iodine gas (I2 and CH3I) and other particles (CsI, Cs, and Te), was incorporated into WSPEEDI-II to improve the surface deposition calculations. The results revealed that the major releases of radionuclides due to the FNPS1 accident occurred in the following periods during March 2011: the afternoon of 12 March due to the wet venting and hydrogen explosion at Unit 1, midnight of 14 March when the SRV (safety relief valve) was opened three times at Unit 2, the morning and night of 15 March, and the morning of 16 March. According to the simulation results, the highest radioactive contamination areas around FNPS1 were created from 15 to 16 March by complicated interactions among rainfall, plume movements, and the temporal variation of release rates. The simulation by WSPEEDI-II using the new source term reproduced the local and regional patterns of cumulative surface deposition of total 131I and 137Cs and air dose rate obtained by airborne surveys. The new source term was also tested using three atmospheric dispersion models (Modèle Lagrangien de Dispersion de Particules d'ordre zéro: MLDP0, Hybrid Single Particle Lagrangian Integrated Trajectory Model: HYSPLIT, and Met Office's Numerical Atmospheric-dispersion Modelling Environment: NAME) for regional and global calculations, and the calculated results showed good agreement with observed air concentration and surface deposition of 137Cs in eastern Japan.
Highlights
A significant amount of radioactive material was accidentally emitted into the atmosphere from the Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Station due to the catastrophic earthquake and tsunami on 11 March 2011
In the atmospheric dispersion analysis, we mainly focus on temporal variations in air concentration sampled at the Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty Organization (CTBTO) stations (CTBTO, 2011) and four stations in the United States: Sacramento, California; Melbourne, Florida; Sand Point, Alaska; and Oahu, Hawaii (Fig. 3a), where the plume was detected in the early stages of the accident
(2) Night of March to early morning of March: the major release from Unit 2 could be separated into three time segments starting from 21:00, 23:00, and 01:00, the previous study estimated one release rate for this entire period
Summary
A significant amount of radioactive material was accidentally emitted into the atmosphere from the Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Station (hereafter referred to as FNPS1) due to the catastrophic earthquake and tsunami on 11 March 2011. The source term of total 131I, which includes all the chemical forms of 131I (hereinafter 131I) and 137Cs was estimated by the researchers from the Japan Atomic Energy Agency (JAEA) using a reverse estimation method (UNSCEAR, 2014). This method calculates the release rates of radionuclides (Bq h−1) by coupling the atmospheric dispersion simulation made with a unit release rate (1 Bq h−1) with environmental monitoring data. They showed the regional and local atmospheric dispersion patterns of the radionuclides for March 2011
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