Abstract
<p>Today, symbol of better policy and more smart is ex ant evaluation policy that Models, methods and tools inform policymakers and stakeholders and ultimately improve the quality of public policy.</p><p>In this article, ex ant evaluation policy model Based on future-oriented approach by using the Delphi technique and the experts in the disciplines and various areas in Iran has been designed. This model can be used as a methodological framework in different disciplines. the causal, model consists of six stages Definition of policy context, The definition of possible policy scenarios and screening, Rational model of probable policies, Analyze the impact of probable policies and compare them, Identify key indicators and measures of progress and advise policy makers and stakeholders feedback information and development answers future of and has functions; informing, communication between policy makers and stakeholders to improve the capacities of policy making. Resulting in improved quality and enhance the cohesion policy.</p>
Highlights
Decision making on selecting a policy implies opportunity cost: the cost of selection between alternative options and the cost of inefficient performance or the lack of the policy
Concerning above typology, authors believe that it may create ambiguities since the final categorization can be interpreted as refining and evaluation of public policy as a step of policymaking process (Matia & Dugaru, 2011). Another discussion is that in ex ante evaluation whether we address goal alternatives, problem or options that lead into selecting among public policy alternatives
The role of ex ante evaluation public policy is more complicated; the aim is to improve decision making process through gathering structured information on possible impacts of a devised policy and, as a result, a basis for decision making on the best policy. This method analyzes evaluating the impact of gathered empirical data or creates a comprehensive framework and evaluates public policy alternatives for possible outcomes in order assure that governmental intervention is at least proper and justifiable (Stranova, 2007)
Summary
Decision making on selecting a policy implies opportunity cost: the cost of selection between alternative options and the cost of inefficient performance or the lack of the policy (in practice). Selecting the policies which pursue real needs I practice would yield to optimized allocation and consumption of national resources (Staronova, 2007). In this process, what is emphasized more is ex ante evaluations or impact assessments (Wersechorn & Gestel, 2009). In selecting policy options and conducting relevant activities, one should note that only those policies are effective which would yield into optimized results (Starnova, 2007). What flows as better interventions in European experiences (Weiner, 2006) and is seen as ex ante evaluations of policies in future dialogues theoretically is emanated from a critical thinking method in order to get rid of “threshold problem” in which future is a blocked way, a dead-end, hidden, out of sight and access and, as a result, out of thought and is ignored due the possibility and an understanding full of innovation on conditions, re-conception aspects, thought modification and stepping toward intentional outcomes emanated from smart selections (Khazaei, 2013)
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