Abstract

Collateral sensitivity (CS)-based antibiotic treatments, where increased resistance to one antibiotic leads to increased sensitivity to a second antibiotic, may have the potential to limit the emergence of antimicrobial resistance. However, it remains unclear how to best design CS-based treatment schedules. To address this problem, we use mathematical modelling to study the effects of pathogen- and drug-specific characteristics for different treatment designs on bacterial population dynamics and resistance evolution. We confirm that simultaneous and one-day cycling treatments could supress resistance in the presence of CS. We show that the efficacy of CS-based cycling therapies depends critically on the order of drug administration. Finally, we find that reciprocal CS is not essential to suppress resistance, a result that significantly broadens treatment options given the ubiquity of one-way CS in pathogens. Overall, our analyses identify key design principles of CS-based treatment strategies and provide guidance to develop treatment schedules to suppress resistance.

Highlights

  • Collateral sensitivity (CS)-based antibiotic treatments, where increased resistance to one antibiotic leads to increased sensitivity to a second antibiotic, may have the potential to limit the emergence of antimicrobial resistance

  • Collateral sensitivity (CS), where resistance to one antibiotic leads to increased sensitivity to a second antibiotic, has been proposed as a potential strategy to suppress AMR7,8

  • We simulated multi-drug antibiotic treatments using two antibiotics of the same type, with either no (0%) or reciprocal CS (50 or 90% decrease compared with MIC of the sensitive wild-type bacteria (MICWT))

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Summary

Introduction

Collateral sensitivity (CS)-based antibiotic treatments, where increased resistance to one antibiotic leads to increased sensitivity to a second antibiotic, may have the potential to limit the emergence of antimicrobial resistance. It remains unclear how to best design CS-based treatment schedules To address this problem, we use mathematical modelling to study the effects of pathogen- and drug-specific characteristics for different treatment designs on bacterial population dynamics and resistance evolution. The conceptual strategies of CS-based treatments have been discussed[6], it remains unclear when CS-based dosing strategies are most likely to be beneficial, and how to design specific multi-drug antibiotic dosing schedules based on CS It is unclear how pathogen-specific factors, such as CS effect magnitude and directionality, fitness costs of resistance, and mutation rates, as well as pharmacological factors related to pharmacokinetics and pharmacodynamics for different drug types, can affect optimal dosing schedules.

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