Abstract
The increase in covid-19 positive patients in Indonesia, especially in West Java, is unpredictable, resulting in unpreparedness in dealing with covid-19 cases. People in monitoring and patients under supervision are the category that is breast-positive patients after passing the incubation period for 14 days. Fuzzy logic is one derivative of artificial intelligence that is able to predict a thing.The study used the fuzzy logic of the Tsukamoto method to predict the percentage increase in positive cases of covid-19 with measures performed are fuzzification, rule formation, inference, and defuzzification. The results showed a 4.5% error rate indicating that predicting covid-19 using the fuzzy logic of the Tsukamoto method was successful.
Highlights
The development of science and technology is an important need to run an agency
The study used the fuzzy logic of the Tsukamoto method to predict the percentage increase in positive cases of covid-19 with measures performed are fuzzification, rule formation, inference, and defuzzification
The results showed a 4.5% error rate indicating that predicting covid-19 using the fuzzy logic of the Tsukamoto method was successful
Summary
The development of science and technology is an important need to run an agency. It can influence the development of agencies to achieve a certain goal so that the agency has a good image. Research conducted from the implementation of Tsukamoto method in predicting the number of dengue fever patients at Purbalingga health center for twelve months in 2016 obtained a percentage of errors (MAPE) when the prediction was 8.13% or vice versa had an accuracy rate of 91.87% (Hikmawati and Arifudin, 2017). There are studies that compare fuzzy logic methods such as Tsukamoto, mamdani, and sugeno methods in order to determine the amount of production based on the previous data by filling the input of demand and inventory. The COVID-19 handling task force in West Java records data on the number of people in monitoring (ODP), patients under surveillance (PDP), and the number of patients confirmed by the COVID-19 virus. There is a feature of providing information on the number of covid-19 cases or confirmed cases per day in West Java in detail. ODP and PDP amount data is available on the pikobar website
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