Depression and Increased Risk of Alzheimer's Dementia: Longitudinal Analyses of Modifiable Risk and Sex-Related Factors

Abstract

Our understanding of why older adults with depression are at increased risk of Alzheimer's disease (AD) remains incomplete. Most adults living with AD are women, and women have a near twofold lifetime risk of depression. We examined the risk of depression upon incident AD, and how sex influences this risk. Using the National Alzheimer's Coordinating Center database, older adults (age 50+) with normal cognition, who visited memory clinics across the United States between September 2005 and December 2019, were followed until first diagnosis of AD or loss to follow up. Multivariable survival analyses were performed to determine if recent and/or remote depression were independent risk factors for AD, if this depression-related risk exists for each sex or was moderated by sex. Six hundred and fifty-two of 10,739 enrolled participants developed AD over a median follow-up of 55.3 months. Recent depression (active within the last 2 years) was independently associated with increased risk of AD (hazard ratio [HR] = 2.0; 95%CI, 1.5-2.6) while a remote history of depression was not (HR = 1.0; 95%CI, 0.7-1.5). After stratification by sex, recent depression was an independent predictor in females (HR = 2.3; 95%CI, 1.7-3.1) but not in males (HR = 1.4; 95%CI, 0.8-2.6). No interaction between recent depression and sex was observed. Only a recent history of depression was associated with higher risk of AD. This association was significant among women only, but was not moderated by sex. Future analyses should determine if these findings extend to other populations and may be explained by variable distribution of neurobiological or other modifiable risk factors between the sexes.