Abstract

Aim: This Department of Veterans Affairs’ (VA) research project evaluated the impact of postoperative atrial fibrillation (POAF) upon 10-year outcomes for coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) patients. Methods: Veterans enrolled in the “Randomized On-/Off-pump Bypass” (ROOBY) trial with new-onset POAF post-CABG were compared to those without POAF with respect to 10-year atrial fibrillation (AF) and mortality rates. Multivariable logistic regression examined whether AF was independently associated with 10-year survival after holding other preoperative risk factors constant. Results: Of the 2203 ROOBY veterans enrolled at 18 VA medical centers from 2002 to 2008, 100 patients with preoperative AF (n = 93) or unknown post-CABG POAF status (n = 7) were excluded. The POAF rate was 26.2% (n = 551/2103). The POAF patients were older and had more co-morbidities than the non-POAF patients (n = 1552). The AF rate among 10-year ROOBY POAF survivors was 18.9% (n = 64/338) compared to 5.8% (n = 61/1048) for non-POAF patients; P < 0.001. Compared to non-POAF patients’ 10-year survival of 70%, the ROOBY POAF veterans’ 10-year survival rate was 63%. Baseline risks inversely associated with 10-year survival included age, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, serum creatinine > 1.5, peripheral vascular disease, and smoking. Holding these factors constant, POAF was not independently associated with 10-year survival. Conclusion: Post-CABG, ROOBY POAF veterans had higher rates of 10-year AF, which was negatively associated with 10-year survival; however, this association was not significant. Given that POAF may adversely impact 10-year AF rates, additional investigation appears warranted to improve future POAF patients’ care.

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