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Abstract
Dengue fever is a major public health problem and has been an epidemic in Thailand for a long time. Therefore, there is a need to find a way to prevent the disease. This research aimed to explore the important factors of dengue fever, to study the factors affecting dengue hemorrhagic fever in Surat Thani Province, and to map the potential outbreak of dengue fever. Collecting patient information was done including, Rainfall, Digital Elevation Model (DEM), Land Use and Land Cover (LULC), Population Density, and Patients in Surat Thani Province, which was analyzed using data mining techniques involving analysis using 3 algorithms comprising Random Forest, J48, and Random Tree. The correct result is Random Forest since the accuracy of the data is 96.7 percent followed by J48 with accuracy of 95.9 percent. The final sequence is Random Tree with accuracy of 93.5 percent. Then, using the information can be displayed through ArcGIS program to see the risk points that are compared to the risk areas that have been previously done. The results can be very risky in Mueang District, Kanchanadit District, and Don Sak District, corresponding to the information obtained from the Public Health Office and the risk map created from the patient information.
Highlights
IntroductionThere are around 2.5 billion people worldwide who have been infected with dengue fever [1,2,3,4]
Dengue fever is identified as a disease caused by the Dengue virus
We propose a method for analysis using data mining techniques with data obtained from Interval Ratio Level to lead the analysis shown in Table 3: Rainfall, Digital Elevation Model (DEM), Land Use and Land Cover (LULC), Population Density, and Patients factor
Summary
There are around 2.5 billion people worldwide who have been infected with dengue fever [1,2,3,4]. Outbreak can occur in the rainy season from Lai mosquitoes, which like to be active in the daytime in homes and schools that have dense populations. Areas with water sources have Lai mosquitoes because they have water that is watery and clear. Because the temperature and humidity are suitable for breeding in other seasons, the prevalence of striped mosquitoes decreases slightly [5]. Dengue infection can result in very mild illness or death. The symptoms often begin with headaches, muscle pain, and bone pain, which can be divided according to the 3 phases of the illness, namely fever phase, shock phase and recovery period [8,9]
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