Abstract

AbstractDengue is one of the most important global health problems caused by mosquito bites. In recent years, the incidence of dengue has increased dramatically all over the world, especially in Bangladesh. There have been several outbreaks of dengue in Bangladesh. Recently, the incidence of dengue is much higher in Bangladesh. The government is trying its best to eradicate this epidemic, but dengue is on the rise despite efforts taken by the government. One of the main reasons for this failure is the ignorance about the upcoming dengue outbreak and appropriate actions. To detect and deal with future dengue outbreaks on time, in this paper, we will forecast the upcoming dengue outbreak using SARIMA (1,0,0)(1,1,1)12 model. Furthermore, we will discuss the current hospital scenario for dengue patients and predict the future risks. Finally, we will discuss some strategies to help the government to control the situation.KeywordsDengueForecastControl

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