Abstract
By modeling compatibilities, benefits, and penalties of various technology packages at the subsystem level in a vehicle design tool, bottom-up assessments of projected technological benefits can be conducted. Fleet-level exploratory forecasting requires linking these vehicle level benefits to forecasts of operations in the National Airspace System. By synthesizing a system-wide/fleet-level environmental performance model and a rapid fleet-level noise computation model, the tradeoffs between fuel burn, emissions, and noise can be compared for a variety of technology infusion scenarios and various retirement/replacement strategies. These synthesized models serve as a screening-level tool to identify promising scenarios for technology investments. The best scenarios can then be modeled in higher-fidelity tools to verify the potential gains from the technology investment. A few examples of the screening-level capabilities for fleet-level scenario analysis are demonstrated.
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