Abstract
This paper analyzes the contemporary demographic processes and trends in the northeastern part of Montenegro, in the case of municipalities: Berane, Petnjica, Andrijevica, Plav and Gusinje. Population analyzed area is characterized by a steady decline in relation to the dynamics of the population Montenegro. Thus in 1948 the population of the observed geospace is seemed 14.17% of the population Montenegro and in 2011 8.41%. The age structure of the population, due to migration and reducing birth rate is changed and takes on unfavorable characteristics reduces the proportion of younger, while increasing the share of the elderly population. In both cases deranged age structure has feedback influence on the movement of population (size reproductive contingent), but also to all other population structure (size of the working population, the active population, schools compulsory contingent relationship serving a), which are essential for the development of population and economic activity in the region. Despite significant changes in all demographic structure of this part of northeastern Montenegro, maintained, has the characteristics of ethnically very heterogeneous environment. The current demographic situation and future demographic processes that have determined the legality of long-term demographic inertia, has become a limiting factor in the overall economic and social development.
Highlights
As the flows of economic and social growth had an impact on demographic trends and the total number of inhabitants, the pace of population growth and its structure according to various monuments, have a significant influence in all spheres of social and economic life
In the period between 1948 and 2011 in this part of northeastern Montenegro has seen significant demographic changes that are an expression of long-term trends in total and structural composition of the population
In this paper the authors of this paper discusses the major demographic changes and trends resulting in the total number of inhabitants this part of northeastern Montenegro and its components and its structure on the basis of census data from 2011(Rajović and Bulatović, 2015)
Summary
The population of the northeastern Montenegro is characterized by a steady decline in relation to the dynamics of the population. The numerical increase in the population amounted in the period 1948 - 2011, 1.235 inhabitants, but with a declining trend in the municipality of Andrijevica (10.067-5.071) and municipality Plav (15.674-13.108). The reasons for the depopulation in these municipalities are in a negative natural increase, primarily in the large emigration population from the economically underdeveloped communities. Observing at the changes in the movement of the total population in Northeastern Montenegro by municipalities, we can conclude that the Municipality of Berane has increased steadily in population, while municipalities Andrijevica and Plav had a continuing decline in the overall population trends.
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