Abstract
Demographically, the population of Serbia is one of the oldest populations in the world and is experiencing pronounced depopulation. Decades-long low birth rates and continuous emigration of mostly young individuals are the principal factors causing demographic aging in Serbia and the current decrease in population. The age structure of the population influences unfavorably any attempts at alleviating the effects of depopulation. Hypothetically, even the highest birth rate in Europe today would not be enough to significantly delay the population decrease in the decades to come, due to the low numbers of women of reproductive age. The demographic future of Serbia is a return to the population size of six decades ago by the next census and an intensification of depopulation. Spatial analysis has shown that as much as 90% of localities have experienced a decrease in population, with localities in the south-east of Serbia being affected the most. In the following period, significant changes in population movement are not expected with the caveat that migratory movement is a key influencing factor but as yet impossible to establish.
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