Degree of contralateral carotid stenosis improves preoperative risk stratification of patients with asymptomatic ipsilateral carotid stenosis

Abstract

The benefit of carotid surgery in asymptomatic patients with high-grade internal carotid artery stenosis (ICAS) is subject of intense debate, and thus improved preoperative risk stratification is mandatory. This study aimed to investigate the predictive value of contralateral ICAS (cl-ICAS) for the preoperative clinical presentation of patients with ipsilateral ICAS (primary outcome). This study was a post hoc analysis of a prospective cohort comprising 485 consecutive patients undergoing carotid endarterectomy for high-grade ICAS. Patients were classified by their clinical presentation, ie, asymptomatic (n = 213) or symptomatic (within 6 months of surgery; n = 272, comprising both transient ischemic attack [TIA; n = 163] and stroke [n = 109]). We investigated the association of cl-ICAS with the primary outcome in adjusted regression models. Mean ipsilateral degrees of ICAS were similar in both groups (84% ± 10% vs 84% ± 11%; P = .92), whereas contralateral degrees were significantly higher in the symptomatic group (29% ± 34% vs 38% ± 39%; P = .008). After multivariable regression analysis, cl-ICAS >60% conferred a three times higher preoperative stroke risk (odds ratio, 3.31; 95% confidence interval, 1.98-5.54; P < .001). Inclusion of cl-ICAS significantly improved (P = .001) ipsilateral combined TIA and stroke risk prediction based on established risk factors (area under the curve, 0.66; 95% confidence interval, 0.60-0.72; P < .001). Our study identifies a high contralateral degree of ICAS as an independent predictor of preoperative ipsilateral TIA and stroke in patients with ipsilateral high-grade ICAS. Therefore, such patients might rather benefit from elective carotid surgery and intensive postoperative medical care.